What to expect in this year’s ‘pre-election budget’
Election budget to focus on reforms to taxation and superannuation
There will be added interest in the Federal Budget 2016-17 announcement on May 3 as it’s likely to be the final major economic statement the Government makes before the election later this year. In this video, we provide investors with an overview of what to expect.
With the opposition taking a strong stance on capital gains tax and negative gearing, we’re looking at a focus this year on taxation. Corporate tax could be cut by up to 1.5% however, there is likely to be minimal – if any – relief in terms of personal income tax. There may also be some changes to superannuation.
Overall, the outlook is for minimal growth in government spending, with spending offset by savings elsewhere in the Budget. Where sharemarkets are concerned, historically we have seen some sideways tracking in election years but there has been no evidence to date of a lasting impact caused by an election. In fact, Australian economic growth has actually been strong during election years since 1980.
About the author
Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy and Economics and Chief Economist at AMP Capital is responsible for AMP Capital's diversified investment funds. He also provides economic forecasts and analysis of key variables and issues affecting, or likely to affect, all asset markets.